Looking for his 16th victory of the season, Max Verstappen heads into Sunday’s Mexico Grand Prix (4 p.m. ET, ABC). The 2023 Formula 1 champion tied his own victories record from the previous season en route to his second championship last week when he won his 15th race of the year at the US Grand Prix.
Even if Verstappen is not able to collect any points in the last three races of the season, a victory on Sunday will make him the most successful driver in the history of Formula 1.
In 2004, Michael Schumacher won 13 out of 18 races on his way to his eighth and last championship. For over two decades, his victory percentage of 72.2% has been the highest of any driver in a single season.
Verstappen will have a win percentage of 84% and will be assured of a win percentage of no less than 72.7% for the whole of the 2023 season if he wins his 16th race out of 19 in Mexico City.
Even if the odds for the No. 2 favorite are also favorable, bookmakers are once again confident in Verstappen’s prospects of winning. Verstappen has odds of -275 going into the Mexico Grand Prix. The Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez is ideally suited for Red Bull’s vehicle since it has a very long front straightaway and a few fast corners.
Following his unofficial second-place finish at the USGP, Lewis Hamilton is the No. 2 favorite to win at +600. Although Hamilton’s car’s floor plank sustained excessive wear during the race, which resulted in his disqualification, the speed he and Mercedes demonstrated over the weekend was consistent and unrelated to any mechanical issues with their cars.
It will be encouraging for the Brazilian Grand Prix if Mercedes and Max Verstappen can compete in Mexico without being disqualified. After a strong race in Mexico, it wouldn’t be shocking if Hamilton had odds of +500 or higher ahead of Brazil, given George Russell of Mercedes won the event the previous season.
Before the season’s 19th Grand Prix, below are a few bets we like.
The race will be won by Max Verstappen (-275)
Though sometimes it’s worth expressing the obvious, this seems too apparent to be properly considered a bet.
Each McLaren driver will receive a point (-250)
Oscar Piastri felt let down by the USGP. He’ll probably recover in Mexico; we’re sure of it.
Lewis Hamilton will place among the top three (-165)
When you take into account that Verstappen is -1400 for a top-10 finish and Hamilton is at -1200, these are excellent odds for the No. 2 favorite to only place in the top three.
Sergio Perez will be defeated by Lando Norris (-105)
The pole will go to Charles Leclerc (+800)
This is the weekend flyer we’re using. It wouldn’t be too shocking to see Leclerc win back-to-back pole positions because Ferrari had the fastest straight-line speed in the field during qualifying.